United Kingdom, 2010–2016
Democracy · Monarchy · Western Europe · The 2010s era
The United Kingdom through coalition-era austerity and rising Euroscepticism, culminating in the 2016 referendum vote to leave the European Union.
A Conservative–Liberal Democrat coalition from 2010 pursued fiscal consolidation after the financial crisis, and a Conservative government followed from 2015. Euroscepticism and debates over immigration and sovereignty grew, and a 2014 referendum kept Scotland in the union. In June 2016 a referendum produced a narrow vote to leave the European Union, within stable parliamentary institutions.
Dominant patterns
- Democratization
- Economic Crisis
Political-science factor profile
Each factor 0–100; higher = stronger authoritarian / crisis pole (except institutional stability, where higher = stronger institutions).
| Centralization of Power | 48 |
| Media Control | 25 |
| Repression | 22 |
| Nationalism | 55 |
| Militarization | 40 |
| Economic Stress | 55 |
| External Conflict | 30 |
| Cult of Personality | 25 |
| Elite Fragmentation | 50 |
| Institutions | 75 |
| Social Polarization | 60 |
| Corruption & Patrimonialism | 25 |
| Ideological Mobilization | 40 |
| External Sovereignty | 95 |
Economy & society
| GDP per capita | $42k (intl-$) |
| GDP growth | +1.8%/yr |
| Population | 64.0M people |
| Share of world population | 0.9% |
| Urban share | 82% |
| Life expectancy | 81 years |
Closest historical twins
The country-eras whose structural profile most resembles United Kingdom 2010–2016, by similarity score (0–100).
- United Kingdom, 1970–1979 – similarity 95/100 · shared: Democratization, Economic Crisis
- United Kingdom, 1918–1931 – similarity 91/100 · shared: Democratization, Economic Crisis
- South Africa, 1994–2008 – similarity 89/100 · shared: Democratization, Economic Crisis
- Germany, 1990–2005 – similarity 89/100 · shared: Democratization, Economic Crisis
- India, 1947–1966 – similarity 88/100 · shared: Democratization, Economic Crisis
- United Kingdom, 1979–1990 – similarity 84/100 · shared: Democratization, Economic Crisis
- United States, 1789–1815 – similarity 81/100 · shared: Democratization
- France, 1919–1932 – similarity 81/100 · shared: Democratization, Economic Crisis
What followed
- The 2016 vote to leave the European Union.
- Continuity of parliamentary institutions.