France, 2007–2024
Democracy · Republic · Western Europe · Present Day era
The Fifth Republic under Sarkozy, Hollande and Macron: a semi-presidential democracy managing economic reform, the gilets jaunes revolt, terrorism and the rise of the far right.
The Fifth Republic’s semi-presidential democracy passed through the presidencies of Sarkozy, Hollande and Macron. Strong executive institutions and competitive elections coexisted with recurring social conflict – pension and labour reforms, the 2018–19 gilets jaunes revolt – terrorist attacks, and the steady rise of the far-right National Rally that reshaped the party landscape.
Dominant patterns
- Democratization
- Regime Stabilization
Political-science factor profile
Each factor 0–100; higher = stronger authoritarian / crisis pole (except institutional stability, where higher = stronger institutions).
| Centralization of Power | 42 |
| Media Control | 22 |
| Repression | 26 |
| Nationalism | 40 |
| Militarization | 42 |
| Economic Stress | 40 |
| External Conflict | 38 |
| Cult of Personality | 26 |
| Elite Fragmentation | 44 |
| Institutions | 78 |
| Social Polarization | 52 |
| Corruption & Patrimonialism | 30 |
| Ideological Mobilization | 40 |
| External Sovereignty | 60 |
Closest historical twins
The country-eras whose structural profile most resembles France 2007–2024, by similarity score (0–100).
- Germany, 2005–2024 – similarity 98/100 · shared: Democratization, Regime Stabilization
- Spain, 1982–1996 – similarity 97/100 · shared: Democratization, Regime Stabilization
- New Zealand, 1890–1914 – similarity 96/100 · shared: Democratization, Regime Stabilization
- Norway, 1905–1914 – similarity 96/100 · shared: Democratization, Regime Stabilization
- Japan, 1955–1972 – similarity 94/100 · shared: Democratization, Regime Stabilization
- Japan, 1972–1989 – similarity 93/100 · shared: Democratization, Regime Stabilization
- West Germany, 1949–1990 – similarity 91/100 · shared: Democratization, Regime Stabilization
- Australia, 1901–1914 – similarity 91/100 · shared: Democratization, Regime Stabilization
What followed
- Democratic institutions amid social polarization.
- Continuity of the semi-presidential order.