Tunisia, 2011–2019
Democracy · Republic · Africa · The 2010s era
Tunisia after the 2011 revolution: the Arab Spring’s surviving democracy, adopting a new constitution and holding competitive elections amid economic strain.
The 2010–2011 revolution that removed Ben Ali inaugurated the Arab Spring’s most durable democratic transition. A national dialogue and a 2014 constitution established competitive elections and civil liberties, with power alternating between Islamist and secular parties. Persistent unemployment, regional inequality and security threats strained the young democracy.
Dominant patterns
- Democratization
- Economic Crisis
- Revolutionary Risk
- Institutional Decay
Political-science factor profile
Each factor 0–100; higher = stronger authoritarian / crisis pole (except institutional stability, where higher = stronger institutions).
| Centralization of Power | 42 |
| Media Control | 30 |
| Repression | 32 |
| Nationalism | 52 |
| Militarization | 35 |
| Economic Stress | 65 |
| External Conflict | 35 |
| Cult of Personality | 30 |
| Elite Fragmentation | 60 |
| Institutions | 48 |
| Social Polarization | 55 |
| Corruption & Patrimonialism | 55 |
| Ideological Mobilization | 45 |
| External Sovereignty | 88 |
Economy & society
| GDP per capita | $11k (intl-$) |
| GDP growth | +1.5%/yr |
| Population | 11.0M people |
| Share of world population | 0.15% |
| Urban share | 68% |
| Life expectancy | 76 years |
Closest historical twins
The country-eras whose structural profile most resembles Tunisia 2011–2019, by similarity score (0–100).
- Brazil, 2011–2016 – similarity 87/100 · shared: Democratization, Economic Crisis, Revolutionary Risk
- South Africa, 1994–2008 – similarity 84/100 · shared: Democratization, Economic Crisis
- Indonesia, 1998–2004 – similarity 82/100 · shared: Economic Crisis, Revolutionary Risk, Institutional Decay
- Greece, 2009–2018 – similarity 82/100 · shared: Democratization, Economic Crisis, Revolutionary Risk, Institutional Decay
- United Kingdom, 2010–2016 – similarity 74/100 · shared: Democratization, Economic Crisis
- United Kingdom, 1970–1979 – similarity 74/100 · shared: Democratization, Economic Crisis
- United States, 1865–1898 – similarity 73/100 · shared: Democratization
- France, 1715–1723 – similarity 72/100 · shared: Democratization, Economic Crisis, Institutional Decay
What followed
- A new constitution and competitive elections.
- Economic strain and political fragmentation.