Hungary, 2010–2024
Hybrid Regime · Republic · Central Europe · Present Day era
Supermajority constitutional rewrite concentrating executive influence over courts, media and elections within the EU framework.
The 2010 parliamentary supermajority enabled a new constitution and electoral law favouring the incumbent coalition. Regulatory and ownership changes consolidated pro-government media, while NGO and university statutes drew EU infringement proceedings. Regimes of the World reclassified Hungary as an electoral autocracy from 2018 – the first such coding for an EU member. EU funds were partly suspended over rule-of-law findings as elections continued to return the governing party.
Dominant patterns
- Revolutionary Risk
Political-science factor profile
Each factor 0–100; higher = stronger authoritarian / crisis pole (except institutional stability, where higher = stronger institutions).
| Centralization of Power | 35 |
| Media Control | 28 |
| Repression | 7 |
| Nationalism | 81 |
| Militarization | 30 |
| Economic Stress | 36 |
| External Conflict | 43 |
| Cult of Personality | 25 |
| Elite Fragmentation | 30 |
| Institutions | 68 |
| Social Polarization | 97 |
| Corruption & Patrimonialism | 52 |
| Ideological Mobilization | 78 |
| External Sovereignty | 94 |
Economy & society
| GDP per capita | $24k (intl-$) |
| GDP growth | +3.3%/yr |
| Population | 9.7M people |
| Share of world population | 0.1% |
| Urban share | 70% |
| Life expectancy | 75.7 years |
Closest historical twins
The country-eras whose structural profile most resembles Hungary 2010–2024, by similarity score (0–100).
- India, 2014–2024 – similarity 79/100 · shared: Revolutionary Risk
- Poland, 2015–2023 – similarity 69/100 · shared: Revolutionary Risk
- Brazil, 2019–2022 – similarity 65/100 · shared: Revolutionary Risk
- United Kingdom, 1815–1837 – similarity 63/100 · shared: –
- South Africa, 1994–2008 – similarity 62/100 · shared: –
- India, 1947–1966 – similarity 62/100 · shared: –
- India, 1998–2009 – similarity 61/100 · shared: –
- United States, 1860–1865 – similarity 60/100 · shared: Revolutionary Risk
What followed
- State institutions rebuilt around the governing party via supermajority.
- Sustained rule-of-law disputes and partial suspension of EU funds.