India, 2014–2024
Hybrid Regime · Republic · South Asia · Present Day era
Dominant-party centralization with Hindu-nationalist mobilization, contested federalism and declining press-freedom indices.
Parliamentary majorities in 2014 and 2019 ended coalition dependence and centralized campaigning around the prime minister. Citizenship legislation, the 2019 Kashmir reorganization and the farm-law protests marked polarizing reforms. Press-freedom and civil-liberty indices declined, and Regimes of the World coded India as an electoral autocracy for part of the period. Growth and welfare digitization sustained electoral dominance amid an active opposition and judiciary.
Dominant patterns
- Revolutionary Risk
Political-science factor profile
Each factor 0–100; higher = stronger authoritarian / crisis pole (except institutional stability, where higher = stronger institutions).
| Centralization of Power | 29 |
| Media Control | 37 |
| Repression | 43 |
| Nationalism | 79 |
| Militarization | 64 |
| Economic Stress | 26 |
| External Conflict | 41 |
| Cult of Personality | 21 |
| Elite Fragmentation | 55 |
| Institutions | 52 |
| Social Polarization | 92 |
| Corruption & Patrimonialism | 71 |
| Ideological Mobilization | 86 |
| External Sovereignty | 98 |
Economy & society
| GDP per capita | $6723 (intl-$) |
| GDP growth | +4.3%/yr |
| Population | 1.4B people |
| Share of world population | 17.8% |
| Urban share | 34% |
| Life expectancy | 70 years |
Closest historical twins
The country-eras whose structural profile most resembles India 2014–2024, by similarity score (0–100).
- Hungary, 2010–2024 – similarity 79/100 · shared: Revolutionary Risk
- Poland, 2015–2023 – similarity 66/100 · shared: Revolutionary Risk
- Turkey, 2002–2011 – similarity 63/100 · shared: Revolutionary Risk
- Thailand, 2006–2014 – similarity 63/100 · shared: Revolutionary Risk
- Brazil, 2019–2022 – similarity 62/100 · shared: Revolutionary Risk
- France, 1815–1848 – similarity 58/100 · shared: Revolutionary Risk
- Brazil, 1822–1850 – similarity 58/100 · shared: Revolutionary Risk
- India, 1998–2009 – similarity 57/100 · shared: –
What followed
- Dominant-party politics with a centralised executive.
- Federal, judicial and electoral contestation persists.